March 30, 2007

A. R. Luria: The Neuropsychology of Praxis

Today's find, via Mind Hacks, is an online archive at UCSD dedicated to the memory of the great Soviet neuropsychologist Alexander R. Luria. (Lots of the links are broken, though.)

Today Luria's probably best known for the "neurographies" he wrote, like The Mind of a Mnemonist and The Man with a Shattered World, which inspired Oliver Sacks's famous ventures in this line. But he actually made really important scientific contributions, which deserve to be remembered.

Luria began his career as a disciple of Lev Vygotsky, who had a fascinating pre-cognitive theory of how individuals acquire higher mental functions through a scaffolding provided by cultural traditions (especially language) and social interaction. Vygotskyism was an explicitly Marxist theory: it was supposed to be a scientific account of how thought arises from practice. While it is very hard to accept some of Vygotsky's more extreme statements, there is I think a core of very real insight here, about both individual development and collective cognition, and one which moreover is fundamentally compatible with sound computational views of the mind.

To support the theory, Luria led an expedition to Uzbekistan which sought to document how the Soviet introduction of modern education and collective agriculture (!) was transforming the mentality of the natives. The resulting report — translated as Cognitive Development: Its Cultural and Social Foundations — is an astonishing mixture of fascinating experiments and conjectures, and equally fascinating displays of colonialist blindness. Most of Luria's subjects were Uzbekistani peasants who'd been forced onto collective farms a few years earlier; a decade previously the whole province was the scene of the basmachi revolt, which was suppressed by the Red Army with the usual measures. It never crossed Luria's mind, so far as I can tell, that a bunch of Russian academics, asking questions which clearly indicated that the Russians thought the Uzbeks were idiots, would meet with anything less than full and sincere cooperation. Consider the following dialogue (p. 112) with an illiterate peasant named Nazir-Said:

The following syllogism is presented: There are no camels in Germany. The city of B. is in Germany. Are there camels there or not?
Subject repeats syllogism exactly.
So, are there camels in Germany?
"I don't know, I've never seen German villages."
Refusal to infer.
The syllogism is repeated.
"Probably there are camels there."
Repeat what I said.
"There are no camels in Germany, are there camels in B. or not? So probably there are. If it's a large city, there should be camels there."
Syllogism breaks down, inference drawn apart from its conditions.
But what do my words suggest?
"Probably there are. Since there are large cities, there should be camels."
Again a conclusion apart from the syllogism.
But if there aren't any in all of Germany?
"If it's a large city, there will be Kazakhs or Kirghiz there."
But I'm saying that there are no camels in Germany, and this city is in Germany.
"If this village is in a large city, there is probably no room for camels."
Luria's interpretation was that Nazir-Said had difficulty with hypothetical syllogistic reasoning, as opposed to more concrete inferences in practical situations, difficulties typical of those "whose cognitive activity was formed by experience and not by systematic instruction or more complex forms of communication" (p. 115). But it's also easy to interpret this as Nazir-Said parrying the question with a perfectly valid, if enthymemic, syllogism ("Every large city has camels; B. is a large city; therefore B. has camels"), and then supporting his major premise with another valid syllogism ("Every large city has Kazakhs or Kirghiz; Kazakhs and Kirghiz always have camels; therefore every large city has camels"). The greater success of members of collective farms in "solving" the syllogisms might just reflect their greater willingness to cooperate with the Russians. In other words, there is a whole layer of issues here, involving the social relations between the scientists and their subjects, to which Luria turned a blind eye...

Even in Russian, this book wasn't published until 1974. One reason, to which Luria and his translators allude, was the political sensitivity of saying that Central Asians had a child-like mentality, even if that was being transformed by socialist labor. The other, though, on which they are conspicuously silent, was the well-known fact that a crude Pavlovian behaviorism became the Official Soviet Line in psychology. Vygotsky was in a sense lucky to die of tuberculosis then, rather than be purged, and Luria had to lie low in an institute for retarded children. (An old New York Review piece on Luria goes into some of the history.) Luria's memoirs, written in the 1970s, are, let us say, extremely tactful about this turn of events. His American discipline Michael Cole, in an epilogue to those memoirs, is rather more open these matters, and confesses to finding some of what Luria wrote when, as it were, he was compelled to speak Pavlovian "unnerving". What I find unnerving is that none of this seems to have turned him against the Soviet system.

In any case, this forced switch in research ultimately led Luria, during and after the war, to rehabilitation work with soldiers with brain injuries, and so to neuropsychology, where he made his greatest contributions. His academic works from this period, like The Working Brain, present a picture of how cognition can work through what we would now call parallel, distributed processing, in which small brain regions perform specialized processing tasks, but none of the "higher cortical functions" maps directly, as it were phrenologically, onto a particular cortical area, but rather recruits these areas in shifting configurations. In particular, this would explain how lesions in single areas can lead to deficits in multiple functions, and conversely how there are many lesions which can cause a given functional deficit.

One could draw an analogy between this view of how the brain works and Marx's idea of how communism will overcome the division of labor. (This connection was never, so far as I know, even hinted at by Luria.) In a famous passage in The German Ideology, Marx and Engels write as follows:

[A]s soon as the distribution of labour comes into being, each man has a particular, exclusive sphere of activity, which is forced upon him and from which he cannot escape. He is a hunter, a fisherman, a herdsman, or a critical critic, and must remain so if he does not want to lose his means of livelihood; while in communist society, where nobody has one exclusive sphere of activity but each can become accomplished in any branch he wishes, society regulates the general production and thus makes it possible for me to do one thing today and another tomorrow, to hunt in the morning, fish in the afternoon, rear cattle in the evening, criticise after dinner, just as I have a mind, without ever becoming hunter, fisherman, herdsman or critic.
Analogously, according to Luria, a region in the frontal cortex (say) might be involved in grammatical parsing in the morning, the planning of rapid motion in the afternoon, and mental arithmetic in the evening, without ever being a parser, a planner or a calculator exclusively. I am tempted to turn this conceit into a just-so story about why Hayek and Hebb, in their accounts of distributed neural information processing, put so much less emphasis on functional flexibility, but I am afraid that someone might take me seriously. (For the record: Marx and Engels's ideas on overcoming the division of labor were profoundly utopian, and that is not a compliment.)

For what it's worth, I think Luria was really on to something here, and the fundamental point against a purely "phrenological" view of the brain is valid. There are times when I wish that no one would write a press release about a neuroimaging study without reading The Working Brain first. (The rest of the time, I wish no one would write press releases about neuroimaging at all.) But I also think it's really a matter of how much and in what manner. Part of the subtext of my own work on information in networks is to develop tools to make these questions quantitative ones, about estimation, rather than qualitative ones, about interpretation.

Which is a good note on which to do some calculations...

Minds, Brains, and Neurons; The Progressive Forces; Afghanistan and Central Asia

Posted by crshalizi at March 30, 2007 16:06 | | permanent link

The Progressive Forces

A. R. Luria: The Neuropsychology of Praxis
A Triumph of Socialist Realism
Completing the Circuit
Strike-Breaking at NYU
Two Paths
Friday Cat Blogging (Science Geek Revolutionary Solidarity Edition)
Abuse of Power Comes as No Surprise (Episodes from the Babylonian Captivity of the Republic)
Undoing the Great Risk Shift, or, Saving Capitalism from Itself, Again
Conservatism, the Enemy of Reason, Democracy and Modern Civilization
The Condition of the Working Class in China
Alec Nove! Thou Should'st Be Living at This Hour!
More Assorted Reading
Greetings, Comrade Henwood!
Re-Elect Gore in 2004!
Political Factors
Strike!
Leszek Kolakowski
Why So Slow?
From Harlem to Samarkand
"Democracy and Its Global Roots"
Good deed for the day
The free development of each is the condition of the war of all against all
Assorted Reading
Great-Granduncle Joe
The Practical Republic
The Union Makes Us Strong
How to Be a Responsible Physicist
How Not to Be a Responsible Physicist
Chomsky and Zinn on The Fellowship of the Ring, or, "Can't you see the violence inherent in the subcreation?"
Their Markets and Ours
Kurdish Betrayals; a Fifth International?

Posted by crshalizi at March 30, 2007 15:38 | | permanent link

Afghanistan and Central Asia

A. R. Luria: The Neuropsychology of Praxis
Friday Abominable Snowman Molecular Phylogenetics Blogging
A Triumph of Socialist Realism
Friday Cat Blogging (Roof the the World Issue of Science Geek Edition)
"The Case for Building an Afghan Auxiliary Military Force"
Let Me Be Among the First to Welcome Our New Orbital Cybernetic Zombie Overlords!
Mongolian Cultural Expression in the Present
The Bactrian Gold
Burani Kadu, with Qima
On the History of Inner Asia, as Reflected in Its Intestinal Flora
Nauroz mubarak!; and, valleys green in memory
News from Tartary III
Hidden Connections; or, Flying Saucers, Conspiracies and Prehistoric Tibet
The Afghan National Character Asserts Itself
A Modest Proposal, or Maximizing Birds per Stone
There Is Much Ruin in a Nation; or, Novus Ordo Seclorum
From Harlem to Samarkand
News from Tartary II
News from Tartary
Quine Stew (Qorma-e-behi)
The Leaden Road to Samarkand
Temujin Displays His Adaptation
Civilization Fell While I Wasn't Looking
Great Moments in Afghan Buddhism

Posted by crshalizi at March 30, 2007 15:38 | | permanent link

Minds, Brains, and Neurons

A. R. Luria: The Neuropsychology of Praxis
Do You Feel Lucky, Punk?
It's Not Who You Know, It's What You Do
Critical Sensation
The Sharks of DARPA
The Parallelogram Paw Issue of Science Geek Edition
Neuropharmacological Foundations of the Public Sphere
SUMO versus the Dendritic Claws (Sunday Sibling Blogging)
Friday Cat Blogging ("Hear, Kitty!" Issue of Science Geek Edition)
Almond Madelines
Friday Cat Blogging (Son et Lumière Issue of Science Geek Edition)
Continuing the Flow of Brainy Material
The Little Grey Cells Get Their Act Together
Let Me Be Among the First to Welcome Our New Orbital Cybernetic Zombie Overlords!
Je ne regrette rien
Towards the Stainless Steel Rat
April Fool's Sloth
This Is Your Brain on Statistical Complexity (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Friday Cat Blogging (Keeping an Eye on the Mouse Issue of Science Geek Edition)
Emile, or, "We don't need no education, we don't need no thought control"
Friday Cat Blogging (It Always Pays to Read the Annals of Improbable Research Carefully Issue of Science Geek Edition)
There Are 52 Significant Differences Between Tom Cruise and John Travolta
More Assorted Reading
Christof Koch, Zombie-Monger
Why So Slow?
Intermittent Finds in Complex Systems and Stuff, No. 1
The free development of each is the condition of the war of all against all
The Literary Theory of a Midwestern Maître à Penser
Better Willing Through Chemistry, or, More Reasons the Staff of the National Review Should Be Squirming in Front of a Truth and Reconciliation Commission Right Now
Dumb Survey Tricks, or, Time to Restock the Adaptive Toolbox

Posted by crshalizi at March 30, 2007 15:38 | | permanent link

Do You Feel Lucky, Punk?

Well, do you? If so, it's probably the casino magnetically stimulating your right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex:

Daria Knoch, Lorena R. R. Gianotti, Alvaro Pascual-Leone, Valerie Treyer, Marianne Regard, Martin Hohmann, and Peter Brugger, "Disruption of Right Prefrontal Cortex by Low-Frequency Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation Induces Risk-Taking Behavior", The Journal of Neuroscience 26 (2006): 6469--6472
Abstract: Decisions require careful weighing of the risks and benefits associated with a choice. Some people need to be offered large rewards to balance even minimal risks, whereas others take great risks in the hope for an only minimal benefit. We show here that risk-taking is a modifiable behavior that depends on right hemisphere prefrontal activity. We used low-frequency, repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation to transiently disrupt left or right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC) function before applying a well known gambling paradigm that provides a measure of decision-making under risk. Individuals displayed significantly riskier decision-making after disruption of the right, but not the left, DLPFC. Our findings suggest that the right DLPFC plays a crucial role in the suppression of superficially seductive options. This confirms the asymmetric role of the prefrontal cortex in decision-making and reveals that this fundamental human capacity can be manipulated in normal subjects through cortical stimulation. The ability to modify risk-taking behavior may be translated into therapeutic interventions for disorders such as drug abuse or pathological gambling.

How long, I wonder, before the tinfoil hat becomes the hallmark of the professional gambler?

Minds, Brains, and Neurons

Posted by crshalizi at March 30, 2007 15:38 | | permanent link

Glory and $1500 a Month (VIGRE-funded Summer Undergraduate Research in Statistics at Carnegie Mellon)

Becaue this worked pretty well last time:

Hey, kid! Got anything lined up for the summer? No? Interested in winning eternal intellectual glory and entering the glamorous world of scientific research? Interested in $1500 a month for two summer months? Are you an undergrad at Carnegie Mellon University? If so, the statistics department has no less than eleven possible projects for you. (One of them is mine, building on this paper.) Apply now!

Engimas of Chance; Corrupting the Young

Posted by crshalizi at March 30, 2007 12:38 | | permanent link

March 29, 2007

Corrupting the Young

Glory and $1500 a Month (VIGRE-funded Summer Undergraduate Research in Statistics at Carnegie Mellon)
Lecture Notes on Stochastic Processes (Advanced Probability II), Spring 2007
Again with the Statistics 754, Stochastic Processes
I Taught Him Everything He Knows
Data Mining (36-350) Lecture Notes, Weeks 4--7
Seeking Advice on Introducing Ideological Bias
A Triumph of Socialist Realism
Data Mining (36-350) Lecture Notes, Weeks 1--3
Glory and $500 (VIGRE-funded Undergraduate Research in Statistics at Carnegie Mellon)
Go Outside and Play, Why Don't You?
The Absorbing Boundary
Lecture Notes on Stochastic Processes (Advanced Probability II)
Statistics 754, Stochastic Processes (Advanced Probability II)
Will There Be a Text in My Class?
A View from Incense-Burner Mountain
Monday Exam Blogging

Posted by crshalizi at March 29, 2007 11:51 | | permanent link

The Complaints Choir of Helsinki

Via John Burke in e-mail, a fantastic video of the Helsinki Complaints Choir --- i.e., a choral work, reciting complaints collected around Helsinki.

A Pittsburgh complaints choir is being organized by Jen and Ray Strobel, and turns out to be rehearsing just down the street from where I live. Details here (under "January 23, 2007"). I am a little disappointed that we will no longer be able to grumble about having less amusing conceptual public art than the Finns.

Manual trackback: Nanopolitan

Linkage

Posted by crshalizi at March 29, 2007 11:51 | | permanent link

March 23, 2007

Eigenfactor (Why Oh Why Can't We Have a Better Academic Publishing System? Dept.)

There is an old Soviet-era joke about a nail factory which was assigned a target, under the five year plan, of 1600 tons of nails, and spent the whole five years producing a single gargantuan nail weighing (of course) 1600 tons. The joke illustrates not only the follies of "actually existing socialism", but a broader problem with using quantitative performance targets, namely that people will tend to to meet the quantitative criteria, which can be only very poorly related to the real job they are supposed to be doing. This is not to say that objective performance criteria are always bad, because often the alternative is subjective evaluations by superiors, i.e., prejudice and caprice; but it does point to the need to carefully design those criteria, so that, as far as possible, they track what you actually want to have happen, and not just what's easy to measure or to calculate.

One place where easy calculation threatens to overwhelm substantive validity is in "bibliometrics", or the use of numerical methods to study patterns of scientific publication. For many years now, scientific journals have been advertising their "impact factor", as determined by ISI/Thompson Scientific, which is roughly the number of citations (as tracked by ISI/Thompson) to that journal, divided by the number of papers published in the journal. The idea is that journals with high impact factors are ones which publish articles people take note of, and go on to cite. Now, leaving to one side the big gap between "is cited a lot" and "is good science", there are huge, glaring holes with this as a way of measuring the quality or influence of a journal. An obvious one is that a citation from the World Journal of Cartesian Snooker and Even More Obscure Problems means much less than one from Nature. But another problem, perhaps even larger, is that different fields have different patterns of citation.

A stereotypical math paper, for example, will use a huge number of previously existing results, but contain very few citations, on the presumption that most of those results are assimilated background which its readers have already absorbed from any number of standard sources. If I write a paper on stochastic processes, I might well use the ergodic theorem for Markov chains, which says (roughly) that there is a way of assigning probabilities to states which is invariant under the chain's dynamics, and moreover the amount of time any sufficiently long trajectory spends in any one state is equal to that state's probability. This is a result with a very intricate history, going back to Markov himself in his struggles with his arch-enemy, but I'd look ridiculous if I cited any of this history, or even a textbook like Grimmett and Stirzaker. On the other hand, sociologists have a reputation for providing as many citations as possible for absolutely everything, and a pious habit of referring back to the 19th and early 20th century Masters. A leading sociology journal, then (say, American Journal of Sociology) might have an impact factor of around 5, while a leading mathematics journal (say, Annals of Probability) would have one significantly lower, even though both are near the top of their respective prestige hierarchies.

Now, you could say this is just another reason why we shouldn't try to rank journals. But there are times when doing things like this is going to be very helpful, e.g. when trying to decide which journals to spend a limited subscription budget on. So it would be nice if there was a way of doing something like this, which corrected for problems like the differences in citation customs across academic tribes.

One way to imagine doing this is as follows. Pick a completely random journal, and a random article from that journal. Now pick one of its references, again completely at random, and follow it up. Repeat this process by following a random reference in that paper, until you come to a dead end, namely a citation to something outside of your data set. Pick another random starting point and repeat, many times. Looking back over your random walks through the scientific literature, how much time did you spend in any given journal? It's not hard to convince yourself that you will spend more time in journals whose papers are highly cited by papers in other journals which are themselves highly cited. If you come to a paper with many references, you are that much less likely to follow any one of them, and so you will spend less time, all else being equal, on those papers than you will in the references of papers which are more sparing of citation. Saying "influential journals are ones which are often cited by influential journals" makes the definition sound hopelessly circular, but the random walk procedure makes it clear that it's not, or at least not hopelessly so.

It turns out that the random walk scheme is computationally very demanding — you need a lot of random walkers, taking a lot of very long walks, to get good results — but there is a short cut. The random process I've described is a well-behaved Markov chain. The ergodic theorem now tells us that a time average (how often does the walk hit a given journal?) can be replaced with a "space" average (what is the probability of being at a given journal?), where the probability weights are left unchanged by the action of the Markov chain. Finding these invariant distributions is an exercise in linear algebra; specifically it's going to be the leading eigenvector of the chain's transition matrix. (One of the beauties of the theory of Markov processes is how it lets us replace nasty nonlinear problems about individual trajectories with clean linear problems about probabilities.) And there are very nice, very fast algorithms for finding eigenvectors, even of very large matrices.

Thus the reasoning behind eigenfactor.org, the latest brainstorm from Carl Bergstrom's lab — most of the actual code and elbow-grease being provided by Jevin West and Ben Althouse. It covers all the journals that impact factor would, but also gives an estimate of the impact of citations to non-journals (which lets us see that some software is more influential than some journals). Plus you get to see all kinds of useful things about how much the journals cost (something Carl's been interested in for some time), and how that breaks down by paper or by citation. All in all, it's a very fun and potentially very useful tool for anyone interested in the academic publishing system, and/or applications of Markov chains.

Disclaimer/Incestuous Amplification: Rumors that Carl arranged for me to publicize everything his lab does in this weblog in exchange for beers from his private collection whenever I'm in Seattle are — sadly exaggerated.

Manual trackback: Geomblog; Muck and Mystery; Outsider; Structure+Strangeness; Flags and Lollipops

(Thanks to Own "Vlorbik" Thomas for typo correction.)

Learned Folly; Enigmas of Chance; Networks

Posted by crshalizi at March 23, 2007 10:14 | | permanent link

March 22, 2007

Via Dolorosa

Learned Folly

Posted by crshalizi at March 22, 2007 17:46 | | permanent link

Learned Folly

Academic life, especially in its sillier and more exasperating aspects.

Via Dolorosa
Eigenfactor (Why Oh Why Can't We Have a Better Academic Publishing System? Dept.)
Friday Abominable Snowman Molecular Phylogenetics Blogging
The Rest Is Commentary
Further MLA-Blogging Now Superfluous
We Can Have a Better Academic Publishing System
A Triumph of Socialist Realism
On the Superiority of Sociology to String Theory
Parasites and Reintermediaries of Death
Chronicle on Cole
George Hersey's The Monumental Impulse: A Declaration of Defeat
The Sharks of DARPA
Signs I Will Not Recommend Your Manuscript Be Published As Is (No. 734)
Strike-Breaking at NYU
All of Peer Review
An Operational Test of "Mathematical Maturity"
A Sociological Exercise
The Structure and Strangeness of Interdisciplinary Research
Networks and Netwars
Popular Delusions of Distributed Multi-Agent Systems
Why Oh Why Can't We Have a Better Academic Publishing System?
Friday Cat Blogging (It Always Pays to Read the Annals of Improbable Research Carefully Issue of Science Geek Edition)
Victorian Sociophysical Instruments
PhDMeatMarket.com, or, Favoritism and Intrigue Mechanized
Persecution and the Art of Neoconservative Writing
"Now Barabbas was a publisher"
I Don't Know You People II
I'm Going for Number 8, Personally
This Is Going to Be Fun
Recognition at Last
I Don't Know You People
Mate Choice, or, You Don't Always Know What You Want
The Literary Theory of a Midwestern Maître à Penser
Conceits and Argufmentation
Cleaning the Stove
Fish is Brain Food
The Impotence of Positive Thinking
"I'm afraid I've committed an egregious foucault"
Life Considered as a Series of Multiple Choice Questions

Posted by crshalizi at March 22, 2007 14:19 | | permanent link

March 20, 2007

Networks

Eigenfactor (Why Oh Why Can't We Have a Better Academic Publishing System? Dept.)
Armchair Conference-Blogging
Notes on "A Likelihood approach to Analysis of Network Data"
It's Not Who You Know, It's What You Do
Statistical Network Analysis: Call for Papers
Cronyism, Corruption and Incompetence: A Network Analysis
A Thought I Have No Time to Pursue
Common Notions: Towards a Lattice-Theoretic Turn in Social Epistemology
The Little Grey Cells Get Their Act Together
Networks and Netwars
Sheep or Gulls? (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
"I Got It from Agnes" (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Friday Cat Blogging (Science Geek Edition: Special Complex Networks Issue)
Speaking Truth to Power About Weblogs, or, How Not to Draw a Straight Line
PhDMeatMarket.com, or, Favoritism and Intrigue Mechanized
Does E-mail Convey Information?

Posted by crshalizi at March 20, 2007 21:09 | | permanent link

"Statistical Methods for Modeling Dynamic Systems" Workshop

...will be held July 9--13, 2007, at the Centre de Recherches Mathématiques, Université de Montréal, organized by David Campell, Giles Hooker and Jim Ramsay. They could hardly have come up with something I'd be more into if they'd been trying (which they weren't):

The term "dynamic system" typically implies a mathematical model expressed by a system of nonlinear differential or difference equations. Models of this nature have had a very long history in the physical sciences. More recently, these models have been employed for new areas such as clinical medicine, ecology, neurophysiology and the social sciences. There is, in addition, more and more attention given to assessing how well these models fit measured data in addition to displaying characteristics of the system being modeled at a qualitative level.

Statisticians have played a relatively limited role in these developments, in part because methods for fitting data with models of this nature that could spin off approaches to testing hypotheses and supplying confidence intervals for estimated quantities have not been easy to develop. Consequently, we have proposed this workshop as a means of bringing those working with dynamic models together with statisticians so as to stimulate further development, collaboration and application of statistical methodology in this important area.

Official website here (or, in French, here). Financial support is available for graduate students.

This is also a good occasion to plug some of the work of the organizers, which I've been meaning to do since Hooker came here to give a talk about a year ago:

James Ramsay, Giles Hooker, David Campbell and Jiguo Cao, "Parameter Estimation for Differential Equations: A Generalized Smoothing Approach", Journal of the Royal Statistical Society forthcoming (2007), with discussion [PDF preprint]
Abstract: We propose a new method for estimating parameters in non-linear differential equations. These models represent change in a system by linking the behavior of a derivative of a process to the behavior of the process itself. Current methods for estimating parameters in differential equations from noisy data are computationally intensive and often poorly suited to statistical techniques such as inference and interval estimation. This paper describes a new method that uses noisy data to estimate the parameters defining a system of nonlinear differential equations. The approach is based on a modification of data smoothing methods along with a generalization of profiled estimation. We derive interval estimates and show that these have good coverage properties on data simulated from chemical engineering and neurobiology. The method is demonstrated using real-world data from chemistry and from the progress of the auto-immune disease lupus.

There has been a lot of work in the physical and nonlinear dynamics communities on reconstructing the state space of smooth dynamical systems (a.k.a. "geometry from a time series"), which more or less assumes that the time series you're interested in is the solution to a set of nonlinear differential equations. (Much of my own work has been based on these ideas, as extended to certain kinds of discrete stochastic processes.) What it concentrates on are the "qualitative" properties of the system, like the geometric type of the attractor, or the Lyapunov exponents. (More exactly, "qualitative" here means "left alone by a smooth change of coordinates", or in the jargon "invariant under a diffeomorphism". This is how the numerical values of the Lyapunov exponents, i.e., quantities, get to be "qualitative".) The strength of these methods --- not needing to know the actual variables comprising the physical state, or the precise form of the dynamics --- is also their weakness; they can tell us that we're dealing with a limit cycle, but not (say) how strongly the calcium and potassium concentrations are coupled.

To answer questions of the latter sort, we need information about the form of the equations of motion and their parameters. Perhaps oddly, the nonlinear dynamics community has done less work on these questions. (Less, but not exactly none.) But this is precisely what Ramsay et al. are doing, by ingeniously using existing spline-smoothing techniques to learn the parameters of the equations of motion in a statistically reliable manner. This opens the door to testing hypotheses about those parameters (are calcium and potassium concentrations coupled? are they as strongly coupled as other experiments would suggest?, etc.), estimating errors, and all the other conveniences of statistical inference. Those of us who care about modeling dynamics should all be very interested in what these two approaches can be made to say to each other.

Enigmas of Chance; Physics

Posted by crshalizi at March 20, 2007 21:09 | | permanent link

Friday Abominable Snowman Molecular Phylogenetics Blogging

The taxonomy of the yeti, the sasquatch, and related fauna has long been a vexed question. The most common position, exemplified by the magisterial work of Sanderson (still in print after forty years!) is that they are primates and probably either apes from some otherwise-extinct genus (e.g., Gigantopithecus), or hominids. The Church of the SubGenius, of course, lays down that SubGenii are, in fact, "Tibetan yetis from Atlantis" (among other things). A more extravagant suggestion was Lovecraft's, that they were mobile, intelligent extraterrestrial fungi, based in this solar system on Yuggoth (traditionally identified by commentators with Pluto, though whether that will survive the recent demotion of that body is unclear). I am happy to report, however, that the taxonomic question has recently been solved, through the power of Science.

Michel C. Milinkovitch, Aldagisa Caccone, and George Amato, "Molecular phylogenetic analyses indicate extensive morphological convergence between the 'yeti' and primates", Molecular Phylogenetics and Evolution 31 (2004): 1--3 [Free PDF]
Dave Coltman and Corey Davis, "Molecular cryptozoology meets the Sasquatch ", Trends in Ecology and Evolution 21 (2006): 60--61 [Free PDF]
Both without abstract.

To quote from the Milinkovitch et al. paper:

In 1992, Peter Matthiessen and photographer Thomas Laird were the first Westerners in over three decades to visit a remote region in the northernmost Himalaya. Located close to the boarder of Tibet, Sao Kohla is a mysterious valley outside of the main city of Lo Monthang. Here Matthiessen, Laird, and their Nepalese colleagues came upon some unusual foot prints in the snow, and were informed by locals that they were the prints of the Mehti (the local name for Yeti). Near a river at the bottom of the gorge, samples of twisted hair were recovered which were clearly identified as Mehti hair by their local guides (Matthiessen, 1995, p. 75--80). We were asked to analyze these samples, but first had to agree that any identification of a "new species" would have to be reported to the government of Nepal before publication.

They sequenced mitochondrial ribosomal RNA from the samples, and constructed a phylogenetic tree, which I reproduce below:

This result was robust to multiple ways of constructing the tree.

Similarly for Coltman and Davis:

In July 2005, nine residents of Teslin, Yukon, witnessed through a kitchen window a large bipedal animal moving through the brush. The next morning, they collected a tuft of coarse, dark hair and also observed a footprint measuring 43 cm in length and 11.5 cm in width. The tuft of hair was sent to Philip Merchant, a wildlife technician of the Government of Yukon Department of Environment...
and so eventually to the authors, who sequenced the DNA. This produced the following tree:

A simple application of the comparative method leads us to conclude that both in western North America and in the Himalayas curious selective pressures have resulted in the convergent evolution of two different groups of ungulates with primates.

In all seriousness, it's not completely implausible that large mammals, even primates, remain undiscovered. As Coltman and Davis note, a new of bovid was described in Vietnam in 1992, and a new species of monkey in Tanzania in 2003, so it's by no means impossible that there is an undescribed primate at large in the Himalayas, or that something rare is shambling around in the Yukon. If you want fodder for speculation, note that Gigantopithecus is known to have survived to about 100,000 years ago, and the ground sloths even more recently than that in the Americas. (Of course, given the degree of armed conflict in and around the Himalayas in recent years, I for one find it only too easy to further imagine the last yetis getting caught in the cross-fire between India and Pakistan, or the Nepalese government and the Maoists.) But, really, every culture I've ever heard of has legends about the roughly human-sized and roughly human-shaped, but not human, creatures who live nearby, and for pretty obvious reasons. I honestly don't see any why cryptozoologists should take these stories more seriously when they come from Nepal or the Yukon than when the come from the British Isles.

(Thanks to Danny Yee for alerting me to these papers.)

Manual trackback: Pathologically Polymathic; Chrononautic Log; Untyping; Greg Laden; Gene Expression; MetaFilter; Southeast Sasquatch Association.

Biology; Learned Folly; Central Asia

Posted by crshalizi at March 20, 2007 20:16 | | permanent link

March 10, 2007

Physics

"Statistical Methods for Modeling Dynamic Systems" Workshop
The Nobel Prize Winner as Neglected Genius
Our New Filtering Techniques Are Unstoppable!
Under Erasure
Continuing the Flow of Brainy Material
Exponential Families and Hybridity (Why Oh Why Can't Physicists Learn Better Probability and Statistics, Part N)
A Sociological Exercise
Networks and Netwars
April Fool's Sloth
Origin of the Fermi Surface in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind (I Don't Know You People, Part III)
"Twelve Thousand Screaming Geophysicists", and One Sloth, in San Francisco
The Only Thing We Understand Is Force
Why Oh Why Can't Physicists Learn Better Probability and Statistics?
Friday Cat Blogging (The Many Worlds of Wallace's Tiger Issue of Science Geek Edition)
Paradox! Stone-Cold Paradox! Get It Before It's Warm!
Victorian Sociophysical Instruments
Boccara on Modeling Complex Systems
Booze, Sex, and Death (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium: Dying, Lost in the Crowd Blues Edition)
Worlds Without End, So It's Not Like Yours Is Anything Special, Amen
Not Even Wrong
Department of Credible Threats
Quantum Darwinism
Where Are They?
Lights in the Sky
How to Be a Responsible Physicist
How Not to Be a Responsible Physicist

Posted by crshalizi at March 10, 2007 18:29 | | permanent link

March 09, 2007

Biology

Friday Abominable Snowman Molecular Phylogenetics Blogging
Ninth European Conference on Artificial Life (ECAL2007) &mdash Call for Papers
The Evolution of Complexity (Encore Performance)
Graphs, Trees, Materialism, Fishing
The Evolution of Complexity
Schooled by Selection
Quickly, Igor, bring me the manuscript!
Friday Cat Blogging (Sunday Supplement Issue of Science Geek Edition)
Life in All Its Rich Variety — Do Not Falter!
Saturday Sibling Blogging
Friday Cat Blogging (Cougars in Black Helicopters Issue of Science Geek Edition)
"I Got It from Agnes" (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Strong Reciprocity Rules OK
Friday Cat Blogging (It Always Pays to Read the Annals of Improbable Research Carefully Issue of Science Geek Edition)
On the History of Inner Asia, as Reflected in Its Intestinal Flora
Friday Cat Blogging (Science Geek Department)
"In nature, there are no rewards or punishments; there are consequences"
The Secret Life of Plants
Be More Specific
Giving People What They Want
Where Are They?
Intermittent Finds in Complex Systems and Stuff, No. 1
Short Takes
Why Nature Is, After All, Worth Reading Every Week
Just Be Afraid, and Everything Will Be OK

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:53 | | permanent link

The Rest Is Commentary

Via Nanopolitan, Yoram Bauman's hilarious and accurate translation of Greg Mankiw's "ten principles of economics", from the Annals of Improbable Research. (Bauman's free downloadable principles textbook, Quantum Microeconomics, looks interesting and, despite the title, sound; and reminds me that I still need to finish my post on econophysics.)

The Dismal Science; Learned Folly

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

The Running-Dogs of Reaction

Shorter Rajiv Chandrasekaran
Bush as Intellectual
On the Superiority of Sociology to String Theory
Rootless Cosmpolites
Two Menances to the Keystone State
"Not actually surprising to anyone who had bothered to think"
Cronyism, Corruption and Incompetence: A Network Analysis
George W. Bush Darkens Counsel by Words without Knowledge
Frontiers of Xenobiology
Dept. of "What Part of 'Do Justice and Love Mercy' Do You Not Understand?"
The Eigenvectors Declare the Glory of God
The Old Serpent, or, Brother to Dragons
Believing in the Will
Soma Sema
It's Going to Be Just Like the Old Country
Conservatism, the Enemy of Reason, Democracy and Modern Civilization
Mid-April Reflections; or, Variations on Themes from Krugman
One Roll of the Dice Will Never Abolish Warblogging
Assorted Reading
"In nature, there are no rewards or punishments; there are consequences"
The Facts Belong to Us
Persecution and the Art of Neoconservative Writing
Hey, Sarge, Why Are They Shooting At Us with American Guns?
Re-Elect Gore in 2004!
Political Factors
Hmm...
Today's snippets
Assorted Reading
"Unjust, unwise, un-American"
Not My Antiwar, Thank You Very Much
Sinners in the Hands of an Angry God
Land of Enchantment
A House Divided
Cheap Shot Before Departing
Cleaning the Stove
Small Worlds and Morbid Amusements
Letter to a Friend in Boston, or, Why Are We Ruled By These Idiots, Part 437?
Better Willing Through Chemistry, or, More Reasons the Staff of the National Review Should Be Squirming in Front of a Truth and Reconciliation Commission Right Now
Abusive Everywhere, Always and Towards All?
Capitalism, the Unknown Ideal

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Writing for Antiquity

Kronstadt
Graphs, Trees, Materialism, Fishing
Structure and Dynamics (On the Economic Geography of Gilgamesh)
The Garden of Forking Paths Weighs Like a Nightmare on the Minds of the Living (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Happy Hogswatchnight!
The Bactrian Gold
And Just Where Did You Get That Idea?
Bourgeois Sexual Morality at The Economist Unveiled
On the History of Inner Asia, as Reflected in Its Intestinal Flora
Friday Cat Blogging (Science Geek Department)
It's Shaped Like a Box, See
Short Takes
Temujin Displays His Adaptation
Great Moments in Afghan Buddhism

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

The Continuing Crisis

Shorter Rajiv Chandrasekaran
Analogous Partitions or Alphabetical Provocation?
"Ceterum censeo, Carthago delenda est" (Saturday Classical Precedent Blogging)
"The Case for Building an Afghan Auxiliary Military Force"
Let Me Be Among the First to Welcome Our New Orbital Cybernetic Zombie Overlords!
Korean Dutch Book
Abuse of Power Comes as No Surprise (Episodes from the Babylonian Captivity of the Republic)
Yet More Political Data Analysis (or: "There you go, bringing class into it again")
It Came from the Cartogram
Decided and Divided Americas
The Long March
"It has already produced immense cataclysms, and will no doubt produce others in the future" (Uncle Bertie Joins the Reality-Based Community)
Always Gibber, Gibber, Gibber, Eh, Dr. Shalizi?
Believing in the Will
Joan Didion Is Elegantly Shrill; or, "What rough beast, its hour come round at last..."
It's Going to Be Just Like the Old Country
Legalizing Torture
The Dead in Gallipoli, and in Iraq
Today's Depressingly-Likely Spam Subject Line
Millennium, Modernity and Shrillness
Objectivists for Kerry!
Shrill, Shrill, Shrill (with a Will)
Assorted Reading
The Rectification of Names
Persecution and the Art of Neoconservative Writing
More Assorted Reading
Clark on American Hegemony
Decentralized Malevolence
Hey, Sarge, Why Are They Shooting At Us with American Guns?
Re-Elect Gore in 2004!
A Modest Proposal, or Maximizing Birds per Stone
There Is Much Ruin in a Nation; or, Novus Ordo Seclorum
Our Geopolitical Situation, Dispassionately Assessed
Today's snippets
This Is Going to Be Fun
News from Tartary
De l'audace, encore de l'audace, toujours de l'audace
"The Pentagon has some explaining to do"
Short Takes
"Naked Power, Arbitrary Rule"
"Unjust, unwise, un-American"
Another Reason I'm Glad I'm Not a Social Scientist
Listen to Him
The Fiscal Crisis of the State
Even the Conservative William Safire
2001 and All That
Not My Antiwar, Thank You Very Much
Cheap Shot Before Departing
How to Be a Responsible Physicist
How Not to Be a Responsible Physicist
Chomsky and Zinn on The Fellowship of the Ring, or, "Can't you see the violence inherent in the subcreation?"
Compare and Contrast
Their Markets and Ours
Malawi Revisited
Letter to a Friend in Boston, or, Why Are We Ruled By These Idiots, Part 437?
Kurdish Betrayals; a Fifth International?
It was a free country, wasn't it?
Civilization Fell While I Wasn't Looking

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

The Dismal Science

The Rest Is Commentary
One Big Mutual Fund, or, The Ownership Society (Modest Proposals for the Reform of Corporate Governance, Part 2)
Inducing Disorientation in Larval Economists
Statistical Arbitrage in the Sky
Two Paths
Popular Delusions of Distributed Multi-Agent Systems
The Great American Alpaca Mania of the Early 21st Century
Strong Reciprocity Rules OK
If We Made a Bigger Pie, I'd Get a Smaller Slice
Undoing the Great Risk Shift, or, Saving Capitalism from Itself, Again
Liberty! What Fallacies Are Committed in Thy Name!
The Condition of the Working Class in China
Buy Your Way to Top (Modest Proposals for the Reform of Corporate Governance, Part 1)
Mid-April Reflections; or, Variations on Themes from Krugman
The Facts Belong to Us
"Now Barabbas was a publisher"
Alec Nove! Thou Should'st Be Living at This Hour!
Greetings, Comrade Henwood!
This is Your Market System on Drugs
Today's snippets
This Is Going to Be Fun
Intermittent Finds in Complex Systems and Stuff, No. 1
Great-Granduncle Joe
Socializing Intellectual Property
Short Takes
Professorial Pulchritude
Listen to Him
The Fiscal Crisis of the State
The Revolution Will Be Securitized
Their Markets and Ours
Aground on Scholes of Finance
Capitalism, the Unknown Ideal

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

The Eternal Silence of These Infinite Spaces

The Starry Heavens Above
"Where Alph, the sacred river, ran"
Let Me Be Among the First to Welcome Our New Orbital Cybernetic Zombie Overlords!
"Twelve Thousand Screaming Geophysicists", and One Sloth, in San Francisco
I Think We All Know How This Story Goes
Self-Organizing Spiral Ice Canyons of the Red Planet!
Die, Puny Humans!
Where Are They?

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

The Great Transformation

Inducing Disorientation in Larval Economists
Sow the Wind, Reap the Drag Coefficient (Dept. of "We are as gods, and might as well get good at it")
Neuropharmacological Foundations of the Public Sphere
Days of Miracles and Wonders
The Garden of Forking Paths Weighs Like a Nightmare on the Minds of the Living (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Funny, We Don't Look Jewish
Mongolian Cultural Expression in the Present
The Electrification of the Whole Country
The Condition of the Working Class in China
Greetings, Comrade Henwood!
Democracy and Its Global Roots
Short Takes
Cowen on Cultural Globalization (II)
"We have created you male and female, and appointed you nations and tribes, that you may come to know one another"
"Every biological invention is a perversion"
Rootless Cosmopolites of the World, Unite! You Have Nothing to Lose but the Idiocy of Rural Life!

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Scientifiction

On First Looking into Lem's Solaris
Let Me Be Among the First to Welcome Our New Orbital Cybernetic Zombie Overlords!
Boldly Going Places Man Was Not Meant to Know
Pop Quiz
Assorted Reading
Today's snippets
Where Are They?
Fan-Boy Moment
Writing for Daylight
Chomsky and Zinn on The Fellowship of the Ring, or, "Can't you see the violence inherent in the subcreation?"

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Self-Centered

It's Not Who You Know, It's What You Do
Topping from Below
Corners Bumped
Partway Down the Danube
The Absorbing Boundary
Self-Commitment
7x7
Outside of a Dog
Our New Filtering Techniques Are Unstoppable!
A View from Incense-Burner Mountain
Continuing the Flow of Brainy Material
Further to Heuristic Diversity
Exponential Families and Hybridity (Why Oh Why Can't Physicists Learn Better Probability and Statistics, Part N)
The Little Grey Cells Get Their Act Together
Mysteries of Academic Publishing
Spring and All
April Fool's Sloth
Heard About Detroit, Heard About Pittsburgh PA
"Twelve Thousand Screaming Geophysicists", and One Sloth, in San Francisco
On Plagiarism
We Wuz 0wnd
Self-mods
Boreal Sloth
It Came from the Cartogram
Boccara on Modeling Complex Systems
Millennium, Modernity and Shrillness
Cover Model
The Circular Ruins
Return of the Sloth
23/5
Monday Exam Blogging
My First Applet
What Good Are Notebooks?
Things I've Learned Recently
I Am Not Worthy
Material Possessions, the Keys to Happiness and Enlightenment
Service
Giving People What They Want
Your Tax Euros at Work
The Big Blue Room
It's Shaped Like a Box, See
Akrasia
To Whom It May Concern
Recognition at Last
Fan-Boy Moment
Sigh
Fair and Balanced
Free!!!
Great-Granduncle Joe
Methods and Techniques
Scenes from DMCS
Memo
Scattered Observations from Freedom
Truth in Advertising
Seven-Year Soup
Breaks
Silence = Content
Going to Freedom
Hello, World!
AAARGH!
Bloggered
How to Not Blog for a Month
Procrastinating? Me?

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

The Beloved Republic

This, This Is My People
Cronyism, Corruption and Incompetence: A Network Analysis
Two Paths
A Home Where the Meth Heads Roam
Friday Cat Blogging (Cougars in Black Helicopters Issue of Science Geek Edition)
It Came from the Cartogram
Decided and Divided Americas
The Long March
It's Going to Be Just Like the Old Country
The Electrification of the Whole Country
Conservatism, the Enemy of Reason, Democracy and Modern Civilization
Great Americans
The Paranoid Style in American Politics

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

The Collective Use and Evolution of Concepts

Armchair Conference-Blogging
"The Invisible Academy: Non-Linear Effects of Linear Learning"
Neuropharmacological Foundations of the Public Sphere
All of Peer Review
"The Paradox of Expertise"
Common Notions: Towards a Lattice-Theoretic Turn in Social Epistemology
Further to Heuristic Diversity
Heuristic Diversity, Your Key to Knowledge, Wealth and Power (Dept. of "Yay Team!")
"Go to the slime mold, thou centralizer, and consider her ways"
Popular Delusions of Distributed Multi-Agent Systems
E Pluribus Unum (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
On Plagiarism
Emile, or, "We don't need no education, we don't need no thought control"
And Just Where Did You Get That Idea?
Assorted Reading
The free development of each is the condition of the war of all against all
"We have created you male and female, and appointed you nations and tribes, that you may come to know one another"

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

The Commonwealth of Letters

Bush as Intellectual
Zadig, or, The Book of Fate
How to Make Our Ideas Clear — to Others
A Scene from the Cafe Central
Graphs, Trees, Materialism, Fishing
"Not actually surprising to anyone who had bothered to think"
The Figured Wheel
"saint & or"
And Just Where Did You Get That Idea?
Joan Didion Is Elegantly Shrill; or, "What rough beast, its hour come round at last..."
A Poem Written by Czeslaw Milosz in Berkeley in 1968
Assorted Reading
Pop Quiz
"Now Barabbas was a publisher"
City of the Dead
A Remarkable Likeness
Leszek Kolakowski
From Harlem to Samarkand
Assorted Reading
On a Happier Note
The Literary Theory of a Midwestern Maître à Penser

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Philosophy

Completing the Circuit
A Scene from the Cafe Central
"Experimental Reasoning, Reliability, Objectivity, Rationality": The Names Men Give to Their Mistakes
Continuing the Flow of Brainy Material
Was John Dewey a Member of the Reality-Based Community?
Friday Cat Blogging (The Many Worlds of Wallace's Tiger Issue of Science Geek Edition)
How to Change the World
"It has already produced immense cataclysms, and will no doubt produce others in the future" (Uncle Bertie Joins the Reality-Based Community)
Emile, or, "We don't need no education, we don't need no thought control"
And Just Where Did You Get That Idea?
Islamopopperism
Christof Koch, Zombie-Monger
Learning Your Way Around Gödel's Theorem
Leszek Kolakowski
Intermittent Finds in Complex Systems and Stuff, No. 1
The free development of each is the condition of the war of all against all
Cleaning the Stove

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Modest Proposals

One Big Mutual Fund, or, The Ownership Society (Modest Proposals for the Reform of Corporate Governance, Part 2)
Cronyism, Corruption and Incompetence: A Network Analysis
"The Case for Building an Afghan Auxiliary Military Force"
A Sociological Exercise
Buy Your Way to Top (Modest Proposals for the Reform of Corporate Governance, Part 1)
"In nature, there are no rewards or punishments; there are consequences"
PhDMeatMarket.com, or, Favoritism and Intrigue Mechanized
Persecution and the Art of Neoconservative Writing
Learning Your Way Around Gödel's Theorem
A Modest Proposal, or Maximizing Birds per Stone

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

The Natural Science of the Human Species

George Hersey's The Monumental Impulse: A Declaration of Defeat
"Every word she says is a lie, including 'and' and 'the'"
Sunday Story Time
Word
Life in All Its Rich Variety — Do Not Falter!
How Much of the Behavior of the South African Proletariat Can Sociobiology Explain?
Of Woman Born (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Bourgeois Sexual Morality at The Economist Unveiled
On the History of Inner Asia, as Reflected in Its Intestinal Flora
Assorted Reading
Mate Choice, or, You Don't Always Know What You Want
Temujin Displays His Adaptation
"Every biological invention is a perversion"
Better Willing Through Chemistry, or, More Reasons the Staff of the National Review Should Be Squirming in Front of a Truth and Reconciliation Commission Right Now

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Psychoceramica

In the Mountains of Madness, East of Las Vegas, New Mexico
Some Iron Is Best Struck Cold
A New Kind of Ringtone
Origin of the Fermi Surface in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind (I Don't Know You People, Part III)
The Old Serpent, or, Brother to Dragons
Friday Cat Blogging (Cougars in Black Helicopters Issue of Science Geek Edition)
Millennium, Modernity and Shrillness
Objectivists for Kerry!
Tongues in Trees, Books in the Running Brooks, Sermons in Stones, and the Eightfold Way of Particle Physics in Cellular Automata
One Roll of the Dice Will Never Abolish Warblogging
"Mars used to have an atmosphere, but they didn't listen"
The Greatest of These Is Charity
Gravity Causes God
Hidden Connections; or, Flying Saucers, Conspiracies and Prehistoric Tibet
"Nine, the next prime number after seven"
The Paranoid Style in American Politics
Cthulhu, Ancient Astronaut?

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Friday Cat Blogging

Latest Research in Chaos Theory and Complex Systems Issue of Science Geek Edition
Leaving on a Jet Plane Issue of Non-Science-Geek Edition
The Parallelogram Paw Issue of Science Geek Edition
Staging an Intervention Issue of Non-Science-Geek Edition
Measure-Zero Exception to the Hiatus Issue of Non-Science-Geek Edition
"Hear, Kitty!" Issue of Science Geek Edition
Roof the the World Issue of Science Geek Edition
Son et Lumière Issue of Science Geek Edition
Sunday Supplement Issue of Science Geek Edition
Towards the Stainless Steel Cat Issue of Science Geek Edition
Ridiculous Self-Satisfaction Issue of Non-Science-Geek-Edition Edition
A Most Distressing Issue of Science Geek Edition
Natural Healthy Curiosity Issue of Non-Science-Geek-Edition Edition
Advantages of Theft over Honest Toil Issue of Non-Science-Geek Edition Edition
Metaphysical Melancholy Issue of Non-Science-Geek-Edition Edition
Non-Science-Geek-Edition Edition
Cougars in Black Helicopters Issue of Science Geek Edition
"That's Doctor Fuzzy Kitty, Ph. D., to You" Issue of Science Geek Edition
Science Geek Revolutionary Solidarity Edition
The Many Worlds of Wallace's Tiger Issue of Science Geek Edition
Keeping an Eye on the Mouse Issue of Science Geek Edition
It Always Pays to Read the Annals of Improbable Research Carefully Issue of Science Geek Edition
Science Geek Edition: Special Complex Networks Issue
Return of Friday Cat-Blogging (Science Geek Edition)
Friday Cat Blogging (Science Geek Department)

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Islam

Assorted Reading
Islamopopperism
Assorted Reading
Gilles Kepel
"We have created you male and female, and appointed you nations and tribes, that you may come to know one another"

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Food

Burani Kadu, with Qima
Oily Scallion Cakes
Ginger Rice
Beef and Cabbage
Nauroz mubarak!; and, valleys green in memory
Vaguely Turkish Ground Lamb with Tomato-Yogurt Sauce
Quince Stew (Qorma-e-behi)

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Creationism

George W. Bush Darkens Counsel by Words without Knowledge
Debugging Early on a Saturday Warfare of Science and Theology in Christendom Blogging
The Old Serpent, or, Brother to Dragons
William Dembski and the Discovery Institute, Renewing Science and Culture by Re-Inventing the Wheel
Creationism and Stupid Complexity Measures Make a bête noire with Two Backs
Harvard Men
AAARGH!

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

Complexity

Armchair Conference-Blogging
Ninth European Conference on Artificial Life (ECAL2007) &mdash Call for Papers
Friday Cat Blogging (Latest Research in Chaos Theory and Complex Systems Issue of Science Geek Edition)
The Evolution of Complexity (Encore Performance)
Critical Sensation
European Conference on Complex Systems 2006
The Evolution of Complexity
Gauss Is Not Mocked
Some Iron Is Best Struck Cold
Our New Filtering Techniques Are Unstoppable!
Quickly, Igor, bring me the manuscript!
A View from Incense-Burner Mountain
Continuing the Flow of Brainy Material
The Structure and Strangeness of Interdisciplinary Research
Networks and Netwars
Sheep or Gulls? (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
This Is Your Brain on Statistical Complexity (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
The Garden of Forking Paths Weighs Like a Nightmare on the Minds of the Living (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Popular Delusions of Distributed Multi-Agent Systems
"Twelve Thousand Screaming Geophysicists", and One Sloth, in San Francisco
E Pluribus Unum (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Friday Cat Blogging (The Many Worlds of Wallace's Tiger Issue of Science Geek Edition)
"I Got It from Agnes" (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Boreal Sloth
Of Woman Born (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Strong Reciprocity Rules OK
We Have Ways of Making You Talk (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium: Divided by a Common Language Edition)
Boccara on Modeling Complex Systems
Booze, Sex, and Death (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium: Dying, Lost in the Crowd Blues Edition)
Friday Cat Blogging (Science Geek Edition: Special Complex Networks Issue)
Cover Model
William Dembski and the Discovery Institute, Renewing Science and Culture by Re-Inventing the Wheel
Self-Organizing Spiral Ice Canyons of the Red Planet!
Creationism and Stupid Complexity Measures Make a bête noire with Two Backs
The Secret Life of Plants
Quantum Darwinism
Lempel-Ziv as a Measure of Complexity, or, Stupid gzip Tricks
I Don't Know You People II
Learning Your Way Around Gödel's Theorem
Recognition at Last
Intermittent Finds in Complex Systems and Stuff, No. 1
Free!!!
I Don't Know You People
Methods and Techniques
Scenes from DMCS
Seven-Year Soup
Breaks
Why Nature Is, After All, Worth Reading Every Week
Does E-mail Convey Information?
Going to Freedom
Pattern Formation in Cocktails

Posted by crshalizi at March 09, 2007 16:50 | | permanent link

March 05, 2007

On First Looking into Lem's Solaris

Much to my loss (and, less importantly, embarrassment), I had never read this before this week. It really is as brilliant as everyone says, one of Lem's best, and bleakest, meditations on intelligence and alienness, cosmic strangeness and human pain. Most science fiction, like most fiction of any kind, is crap. Of the rest, most is mere brain-candy (which I devour eagerly, see side-bar at left). Of the rest, most is the literature of the great transformation, of humanity's passage out of pre-industrial darkness (perhaps into a different kind of darkness). This is science fiction as a literature that goes beyond the confines of our species.

I will not attempt a proper review, but I do want to draw out just one thread — I'm sure it's an old story to those who actually study Lem. The novel seems to owe something to two classic American stories of alien contact in the Antarctic, Lovecraft's At the Mountains of Madness and John W. Campbell's "Who Goes There?", though I have no idea if that's even historically possible, and Solaris is unquestionably at a far higher intellectual level. (There are a few places where the passage from Polish to English via French has reduced technical terms to gobbledygook, though I think I can guess what Lem meant.) In fact, I can't help but wonder if Solaris wasn't, in part, Lem's response to the challenge Campbell, as editor, set to his authors: "Write me a creature that thinks as well as a man, or better than a man, but not like a man". All those writers failed. (I think Lovecraft wanted to do this, but his best efforts ran a-ground in sentiments like this: "Radiates, vegetables, monstrosities, star spawn — whatever they had been, they were men!"). Lem actually succeeded here in making his readers imagine something which is so orthogonal to any sort of terrestrial mentality that even terms like "mind" or "intelligence" seem dubious, but inescapable. That he achieves this effect through, in part, an even more extreme version of the literal anthropomorphism indulged in by Campbell, that is artistry.

There is artistry, too, in the way Lem's protagonist realizes he has had a profound encounter with the utterly alien, but what matters to him is the all-too-human hope its side-effects offer of a tormented emotional redemption. "I knew nothing, and I persisted in the faith that the time of cruel miracles was not past."

Merry Christmas.

Scientifiction

Posted by crshalizi at March 05, 2007 23:55 | | permanent link

Felix Lupercalia

If you are in love, then this is obviously the most appropriate and touching image for the holiday. If you are out of love, then this is, again, the most appropriate image for the holiday:

(Via Sean Carroll at Cosmic Variance, who evidently belongs to the former set.)

Linkage

Posted by crshalizi at March 05, 2007 15:34 | | permanent link

Friday Self-Knowledge Blogging

On the one hand, this rings true.

On the other hand, I'm still going to Scott Aaronson's talk this afternoon.

Posted by crshalizi at March 05, 2007 15:34 | | permanent link

Three-Toed Sloth:     Hosted, but not endorsed, by the Center for the Study of Complex Systems